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☆ Bank stocks seem poised for a breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Bank stocks have been in comeback mode since making a key low post the regional bank crisis in 2023. A new breakout could be on the horizon, according to the charts. Two of the most popular bank ETFs are the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) and the SPDR S & P Bank ETF (KBE) . Both are lagging the S & P 500 in 2024, which is +8.2% YTD. The bottom line is that both KRE and KBE have been forming bullish patterns, and we could see breakout attempts soon.

Persons: KRE, it's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: JPMorgan, Regional Banking, P Bank ETF

☆ Jamie Dimon's big JPMorgan stock sale may be a warning sign, given his stellar track record at market timing
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon sold hundreds of thousands of shares in the bank last week, a possible worrisome signal given his strong track record at timing the market. What Dimon sold was all profit from the more than one million shares he bought between 2009 and 2016, Bespoke said. In total, Dimon bought more than 1.2 million shares between 2009 and 2016. JPM KBE,.SPX YTD mountain JPMorgan vs. the S & P 500 and SPDR S & P Bank ETF, year to date JPMorgan shares are up more than 8% so far in 2024, outperforming the S & P 500 's less than 7% gain as well as a more than 4% decline in the SPDR S & P Bank ETF (KBE) . A filing from JPMorgan last October said Dimon would sell one million shares sometime in 2024 but didn't specify when.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, FactSet, JPM Organizations: Investment, upturns, JPMorgan, Insider, P Bank, P Bank ETF

☆ How to make your money work for you over the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( James Faris | William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.

Persons: —, Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries

☆ How US banks can wiggle out of the $650 billion balance-sheet bomb hanging over them
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

US banks are sitting on an estimated $650 billion in unrealized losses on their bond holdings. Here's why banks have flexibility in making sure that their $650 billion balance sheet bomb is defused. The bond crash culminated in an estimated $650 billion in unrealized losses held by banks, according to Moody's. How banks can defuse their balance sheet bombDespite the massive unrealized losses, banks are looking at three scenarios that could help ensure losses aren't realized. First, banks could simply hold onto their low-yielding debt until it matures and not realize any losses at all.

Persons: —, aren't, Louis Navellier, Geetu Sharma, Sharma, Banks Organizations: Service, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank, Consumers, of America, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Banks, P Bank, P Regional Bank ETF

☆ Bank stocks could be the hot year-end trade if peak rates prove a 'mini clearing event'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's time to pick positions in bank stocks heading into year end as peak rates could be a "mini clearing event" for the sector, according to Bank of America. "While we are careful to not [get] carried away, peak interest rates do have potential to serve as a mini clearing event for bank stocks," BofA's Ebrahim Poonawala wrote in a Sunday note. Regional banks are down by 27% this year, and have continued to face intense scrutiny due to their exposure to commercial real estate. "Best case, peak rates could mark near term bottom in bank stocks vs. S & P." To be sure, there remain issues in the sector. Bank stocks are highly tied to the broader economy and their loans could take a hit if the U.S. falls into a recession.

Persons: BofA's Ebrahim Poonawala, JPMorgan Chase, KRE, Poonawala, NIM, it's, Bryn Talkington, Talkington, Morgan Stanley, Bill Gross, Gross Organizations: Bank of America, Bank, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Regional Banking, P Bank, Federal Reserve, Capital Management, West Bancorp, Truist Financial, Citizens, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

☆ Spiking Treasury yields are triggering pain in stocks. 3 experts discuss the renewed threat of bond vigilantes and what else could move markets.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-29 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Investors are now tasked with trying to understand where bond yields go next, and what the drivers of those yields would be. Forget about the technical charts, he says — they are not driving the bond market right now. While Fed policy has consequences for the bond market, investors drive the yield, Johnson said. That means trying to predict where bond yields will settle will be very hard. But fear in the stock market could translate to greed in the bond market as investors flee to safety.

Persons: Paul Ciana, Gordon Johnson, —, Johnson, Ed Yardeni, Kevin Zhao, Liz Truss, Ray Dalio, Fitch, Eric Leve, Michael Gayed, there's, Russell, Leve, hasn't Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank of America, GLJ Research, UBS Asset Management, CNBC, Greenwich Economic, Tidal Financial, P Bank ETF, BlackRock Locations: Bridgewater, Greenwich

☆ Deutsche Bank strategist says this counterintuitive trade can work as rates rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There are two places investors want to look with interest rates climbing — and it may not be the places they'd expect, said Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist. Interest rates have hit new multiyear highs in recent days, pressuring the stock market and raising investor alarm. Chadha said investors should look at banks and consumer cyclical names in this market. Bank stocks took a sharp hit amid the sector crisis earlier this year, and have slipped in recent months as investors considered the state of the economy. Consumer discretionary names in the S & P 500 have climbed more than 24% this year despite a modest retreat in the third quarter.

Persons: Binky Chadha, Chadha Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Treasury, P Bank ETF, Bank, Nasdaq

☆ Something is breaking in financial markets — Here's what's behind the sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThat cracking sound in financial markets isn't the typical kind of break, where one asset class or another fractures and gives way. "The cost of capital is going up, companies are going to have to refinance at a higher rate." That sentiment was buttressed this week, when at least four central bank officials either endorsed hikes or indicated that higher rates would be staying in place for an extended period. Consumers, for one, are feeling the squeeze of higher rates on everything from mortgages to credit cards to personal loans. "Now, at some point, my guess is that markets will eventually get to cheap enough levels where you'll bring buyers in.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Larry McDonald, Treasurys, McDonald, It's, Joseph LaVorgna, LaVorgna, Donald Trump, I've Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Treasury, LPL, Labor Department, Wall, P Bank ETF, Congressional, Treasury Department, The, White House, National Economic Council, Nikko Securities Locations: New York City, Washington, U.S

☆ This major bank's stock can rally 25% as dealmaking and consumer banking improve, HSBC says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors shouldn't ignore Goldman Sachs as dealmaking regains steam and the consumer banking business turns a corner, according to HSBC. "Goldman Sachs is our preferred name in this sector," Martinez said in a note to clients. Goldman shares have underperformed the broader market with a 6.5% loss this year. Goldman could also see increased valuation multiples from strong earnings and returns on equity and tangible common shareholders' equity, the analyst said. Higher capital requirements or management talent leaves could also hurt shares, as could losses on sales of principal investments.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Saul Martinez, Martinez, they've, Goldman, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: HSBC, Valley Bank, Goldman, P Bank ETF Locations: Wednesday's

U.S. bank shares dropped on Tuesday after ratings agency Moody's downgraded credit ratings of several U.S. regional lenders and placed some banking giants on review for potential downgrade. It warned lenders will find it harder to make money as interest rates remain high, funding costs climb and a potential recession looms. The warning caught some investors off guard. On Tuesday, SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF's (KRE.P) options-based 30-day implied volatility rose to 31.1%, up from 28.9% touched on Monday. "In the near term, there are reasons for caution about banks in general and we have made changes where appropriate," he said.

Persons: SPDR, Steve Sosnick, There's, David Wagner, David Smith, Brian Mulberry, Michelle Price, Diane Craft Organizations: Moody's Corporation, P Bank, Regional Banking, Silicon Valley Bank, Banking, Interactive, Alert, Aptus Capital, Autonomous Research, Analysts, Zacks Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, Silicon

☆ Citigroup posts better-than-expected earnings and revenue, shares rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Citigroup shares rose in premarket on Friday after the bank reported second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped expectations. Earnings per share: $1.33 vs. $1.30Revenue: $19.44 billion vs. $19.29 billionShares of Citigroup climbed more than 1% in premarket trading. While beating Street estimates, Citi's revenue dipped 1% from a year ago as the decline in markets and investment banking businesses weighed on the result. "In Banking, the long-awaited rebound in Investment Banking has yet to materialize, making for a disappointing quarter." On the bright side, revenue from personal banking and wealth management increased 6% in the quarter to $6.4 billion driven by strong loan growth.

Persons: Refinitiv, Jane Fraser, Fraser Organizations: Citigroup, P Bank ETF, Citi, Investment Banking Locations: premarket, U.S

☆ Buy 'best-in-class' JPMorgan Chase thanks to strong earnings potential, Jefferies says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

JPMorgan Chase has been a winner in the banking sector, and Jefferies expects that trend to continue. On Tuesday, it gained more than 1% before the bell JPM YTD mountain JPMorgan Chase has climbed more than 8% in 2023. "While JPM has been an absolute and relative outperformer in 2023, its combination of balance sheet strength, strong liquidity positioning, and best in-class earnings generation potential continue to position the bank well," analyst Ken Usdin said. He also said the addition of First Republic to JPMorgan's balance sheet could further juice earnings — while higher fees also strengthen the banks position. JPMorgan Chase is slated to report second-quarter earnings Friday before the bell.

Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Jefferies, JPM, Ken Usdin, Usdin, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Jefferies, P Bank ETF, First Locations: First Republic

☆ Evercore ISI raises market outlook and gives 'Momentum Masters' stocks to play it
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The S & P 500 could see more upside ahead after breaking out above a key level as artificial intelligence drums up market excitement, according to Evercore ISI. His new target implies the stock market could rally 3.9% from where it finished last week. That puts Emanuel above the median and average S & P 500 targets on Wall Street after previously being right around them. The S & P 500's recent breakout above the 4,200 points is a sign that AI-driven momentum first seen in the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite is now apparent in the S & P 500. Momentum masters He called this investing landscape a "Momentum Market" that requires more risk management a probabilistic thinking.

Persons: Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, he'll, Russell, —, selloff, Zscaler, BancShares, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: ISI, American Association of, Investors, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Company, P Bank ETF, Banking Locations: Silicon

☆ Stock futures are down slightly on Monday evening after rally takes a breather: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures slipped 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively. The Dow finished Monday down about 0.6%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite lost about 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively. Elsewhere, bank stocks slid following news that regulators are contemplating increasing capital requirements for large banks. Goldman Sachs and Bank of America each lost about 0.6% on Monday, while Morgan Stanley slipped around 0.7% and JPMorgan shares slid nearly 1%. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF dropped about 2.2%.

Persons: Apple, —, Keith Buchanan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, New York Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Big Tech, Intel, Apple, Globalt Investments, Bank of America, JPMorgan, P Bank Locations: New

☆ Why the inflows? A 'two-sided equation' for bank ETFs
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Kevin Schmidt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"It's a two-sided equation here," Reggie Browne, principal of GTS, told Bob Pisani on CNBC's 'ETF Edge' on Monday. "If you look at the entire suite of regional bank ETFs, they're picking up assets." While regional bank ETFs continue to tumble, the funds still netted more than $105 million in inflows within the past month, according to FactSet. Flows were largely into the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) , which pulled in $108 million during the same period. The dividend yield on the KRE stands at 3.84%, while the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) offers 3.59%.

☆ Fed report on SVB collapse faults bank's managers — and central bank regulators
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Central bank officials likely will turn their attention to cultural changes, noting that risks at SVB were not thoroughly examined. Future changes could see standardized liquidity requirements to a broader range of banks, and tighter supervision of compensation for bank managers. "[T]he combination of social media, a highly networked and concentrated depositor base, and technology may have fundamentally changed the speed of bank runs,' he said in the report. "Social media enabled depositors to instantly spread concerns about a bank run, and technology enabled immediate withdrawals of funding." Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said he welcomed the Barr probe and its internal criticism of Fed actions during the crisis.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Big Tech surpasses expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. First Republic lost almost half its value in a single trading day, dragging down other regional banks. However, Wednesday could look like a very different trading day in the United States. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

☆ The banking crisis is having a slow-burn impact on the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

That's a credit hit on Middle America, on Main Street," said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard. Watching growth aheadIn the immediate future, the reading on first-quarter economic growth is expected to be largely positive despite the banking problems. In fact, the most recent recession was just two years ago in the early days of the Covid crisis. Consumer spending has seemed to hold up fairly well in the face of the banking crisis, with Citigroup estimating excess savings of about $1 trillion still available. [The banking situation] is a headwind, but it's not a gale-force headwind, it's just kind of a nuisance."

Persons: Spencer Platt, Steven Blitz, Stocks, Robert Sockin, it's, Dow Jones, isn't, It's, Moody's, Mark Zandi, headwind, Covid, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, TS Lombard, First, Bank, P Bank ETF, Citigroup, Commerce Department, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Moody's, Financial Advisors Locations: New York City, U.S, America, First Republic, Atlanta

☆ BMO's chief strategist says you have to 'sift through the rubble' in the banking sector. Here are the smaller names he likes
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

First Citizens BancShares and Glacier Bancorp are smart smaller bank stocks to own as investors re-examine the pummeled financial sector, according to Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Harris. "Unfortunately, you have to kind of sift through the rubble to find ... the best names," he said on CNBC's " Halftime Report ." That's despite the fact that small- and mid-size banks will likely see massive consolidation more broadly, Belski added. Three out of the five analysts with ratings on First Citizens say the stock is worth buying, according to Refinitiv. But after its recent drop, the average analyst expects the stock to rally almost 25% in the next year.

☆ What crisis? U.S. bank-focused ETFs see strongest demand in months in March
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Lisa Pauline Mattackal | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Exchange-traded funds tracking U.S. regional banks saw their strongest net inflows in months, with the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF receiving $1.25 billion in the month to March 29, while the iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (IAT.P) took in $258 million, according to Refinitiv Lipper data. March was the first month of net buying for the IAT fund in a year, and one of the best months on record in terms of flows for KRE. US Bank ETFs in 2023A swift response from regulators and central banks encouraged investors looking to "buy at the bottom," Islam said. "As markets continue to settle down ... banks generally and major banks especially will outperform the S&P 500."

Organizations: & $, & $

☆ Fear gauge shows Wall Street's worries about a banking crisis have largely subsided
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

S & P 500 futures have been up pre-open every day this week and are again up Thursday, but that's not what really sticks out. The most notable facts about the trading action this week is how quiet it has been compared to the prior two weeks. .VIX YTD mountain Wall Street's fear gauge this year Activity in the S & P Bank ETF (KBE) , where normal average volume was one to two million shares a day prior to the banking crisis, saw multiple days with volume over 11 million shares two weeks ago. On Wednesday, a mere 2.7 million shares changed hands, almost back to pre-banking crisis levels. Indeed: the S & P is currently trading for roughly 18 times 2023 earnings estimates.

☆ Stock futures are up as Wall Street looks to build on winning week: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Stock futures edged higher Sunday evening as Wall Street came off a winning week and investors continued to follow the troubling bank sector. The moves come after Wall Street capped off a winning week despite volatility related to the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate hike and the ongoing bank crisis. The news reignited concerns over the health of the European banking system that started with UBS ' acquisition of Credit Suisse earlier this month. "Although markets were okay with the Fed, it was the second thing — the ongoing turmoil in the banking system — that mattered even more." In the week ahead, investors will likely continue watching the banking sector for indicators of potential weakness.

☆ These beaten-down bank stocks have strong deposit bases and are well liked by analysts
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Bank stocks have been pummeled in recent weeks amid the ongoing crisis centered around regional banks — but Wall Street sees some buying opportunities among the financial shares that have solid fundamentals and strong deposit bases. The financial shock spurred by the closure of Silicon Valley Bank has pushed down a bevy of bank stocks in recent days as investors considered the risk of contagion. Silicon Valley Bank had around 95% of it deposits uninsured as of December. But Wall Street is expecting some bank stocks to come back as investors look past the broader crisis and find comfort in those with relatively strong fundamentals and customers. First Citizens BancShares and Goldman Sachs also made the list, with each having 33% of its deposits uninsured.

☆ Treasury's Janet Yellen rains on Jay Powell's parade
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference Wednesday threaded the needle almost perfectly. By the time Powell ended the press conference around 3:15 p.m. Both Yellen and Powell have been at great pains to say that deposits are safe, and by so doing are implying an implicit backstop for deposits. Powell, in his press conference, said "I think depositors should assume that their deposits are safe." But in her testimony Wednesday, Yellen said the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was not considering providing "blanket insurance" for all banking deposits.

☆ Stock futures are up slightly as investors weigh bank troubles, Fed decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were slightly higher Thursday night as investors' attention shifted from this week's Federal Reserve meeting back to the U.S. banking system. S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, while Nasdaq-100 futures were up 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite posted the largest gain, at 1%, as technology shares continued to rally on a hunch that interest rate hikes would be coming to an end. Investors continued responding Thursday to the quarter percentage point interest rate hike announced by the Fed on Wednesday. The central bank also signaled that the interest rate hikes, meant to cool inflation, could be coming the end.

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